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Red70
170133.5
309850.2
247440.1
Blue152
360435.6
24732.6
362045.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions897605015020025070152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.21.4
35.433.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
45.16.2
28.835.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2474
#30
40.11.4
29.127.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
35.66.2
26.332.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1701
#32
33.51.4
22.821.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
247
#14
32.66.2
22.628.8
Auto
Teleop
End