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Red167
354832.7
86244.0
501424.3
Blue26
21457.9
9418.9
439820.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7159010015020025016726

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#11
44.08.2
29.838.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.1
4398
#26
20.92.9
25.222.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
32.78.2
28.236.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.8
94
#24
18.92.9
14.811.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5014
#33
24.38.2
10.819.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
2145
#40
7.92.9
21.018.1
Auto
Teleop
End