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Red100
52528.6
362045.1
150220.5
Blue67
222414.9
21457.9
125033.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5868010015010067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.13.4
35.038.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
1250
#16
33.70.0
23.923.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1502
#22
20.53.4
14.818.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
2224
#34
14.90.0
24.824.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5252
#29
8.63.4
9.913.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2145
#40
7.90.0
18.118.1
Auto
Teleop
End