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Red36
485411.7
508617.1
118816.6
Blue176
57351.7
521526.6
9418.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4161010015020036176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5086
#21
17.10.7
10.49.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 34.6
573
#4
51.79.9
36.746.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1188
#23
16.60.7
18.017.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
5215
#36
26.69.9
9.219.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4854
#37
11.70.7
16.115.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
94
#24
18.99.9
11.921.8
Auto
Teleop
End