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Red46
440525.6
501424.3
118816.6
Blue45
354832.7
150416.8
10758.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4712501001502002504645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#17
25.60.9
28.027.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 32.7
107
#3
58.34.5
60.956.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5014
#33
24.30.9
16.815.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
32.74.5
32.427.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1188
#23
16.60.9
14.713.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1504
#39
16.84.5
19.114.6
Auto
Teleop
End