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Red137
296048.4
468016.5
125033.7
Blue145
354832.7
485411.7
247440.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8674050100150200137145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.43.3
42.345.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
2474
#30
40.14.3
36.740.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1250
#16
33.73.3
27.330.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
32.74.3
27.932.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4680
#31
16.53.3
14.117.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
4854
#37
11.74.3
10.815.1
Auto
Teleop
End