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Red41
57351.7
440525.6
83511.6
Blue95
86244.0
309850.2
360435.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871270501001502002504195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#4
51.73.2
52.148.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
50.21.6
44.643.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4405
#17
25.63.2
27.123.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.4
862
#11
44.01.6
43.942.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
835
#10
11.63.2
14.211.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.0
35.61.6
32.030.5
Auto
Teleop
End