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Red28
170133.5
485411.7
523511.7
Blue96
508617.1
150220.5
354832.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666602040801001201401602896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#32
33.52.2
37.935.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
32.71.7
32.233.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4854
#37
11.72.2
15.112.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
1502
#22
20.51.7
17.519.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5235
#25
11.72.2
13.811.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
5086
#21
17.11.7
15.417.1
Auto
Teleop
End