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Red180
440525.6
10758.3
296048.4
Blue205
354726.5
360435.6
3384.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125137050100150200250180205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#3
58.32.9
57.560.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.7
33
#1
84.13.9
82.386.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48.42.9
45.648.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
35.63.9
30.534.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4405
#17
25.62.9
23.926.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3547
#18
26.53.9
22.626.5
Auto
Teleop
End