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Red160
125033.7
86244.0
247440.1
Blue176
309850.2
57351.7
439820.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11012550150200250160176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#11
44.00.8
42.142.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
573
#4
51.70.9
51.652.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2474
#30
40.10.8
38.239.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
50.20.9
50.151.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1250
#16
33.70.8
31.832.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
4398
#26
20.90.9
20.721.6
Auto
Teleop
End