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Red174
125033.7
247440.1
86244.0
Blue140
57351.7
439820.9
309850.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114123050100150200250174140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#11
44.01.0
43.344.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
573
#4
51.70.3
51.451.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2474
#30
40.11.0
39.440.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
50.20.3
49.950.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1250
#16
33.71.0
33.034.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
4398
#26
20.90.3
20.620.9
Auto
Teleop
End