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Red175
330216.2
233778.0
353990.5
Blue114
477930.4
504634.5
520130.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20874050100150250300350175114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.50.2
91.391.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 56.0
5046
#15
34.50.3
34.134.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
78.00.2
78.878.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 47.1
5201
#14
30.90.3
30.530.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3302
#32
16.20.2
17.016.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.2
4779
#26
30.40.3
29.930.2
Auto
Teleop
End