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Red156
353990.5
233778.0
330216.2
Blue103
504634.5
520130.9
477930.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20775050100150250300350156103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.50.5
91.190.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 56.0
5046
#15
34.50.1
34.434.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
78.00.5
78.678.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 47.1
5201
#14
30.90.1
30.830.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3302
#32
16.20.5
16.816.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.2
4779
#26
30.40.1
30.230.4
Auto
Teleop
End