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Red246
296063.5
21757.4
485412.5
Blue191
283231.0
473731.6
81842.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13692050150200250246191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.51.9
62.164.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.0
818
#9
42.51.5
40.542.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
217
#7
57.41.9
56.057.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.8
4737
#20
31.61.5
29.531.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4854
#39
12.51.9
11.113.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.5
2832
#17
31.01.5
29.030.5
Auto
Teleop
End