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Red138
21757.4
296063.5
485412.5
Blue134
81842.5
283231.0
473731.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14296050200250300138134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.50.0
64.064.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.0
818
#9
42.50.5
42.042.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
217
#7
57.40.0
57.958.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.8
4737
#20
31.60.5
31.131.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4854
#39
12.50.0
13.113.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.5
2832
#17
31.00.5
30.531.0
Auto
Teleop
End