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Red17
259113.9
222421.8
485412.5
Blue45
45342.3
52268.8
330216.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30660501001502001745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2224
#33
21.80.9
13.913.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.5
453
#10
42.30.8
37.837.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2591
#22
13.90.9
11.110.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
3302
#32
16.20.8
13.612.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4854
#39
12.50.9
10.29.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
5226
#34
8.80.8
8.67.8
Auto
Teleop
End