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Red134
413056.8
519717.7
519330.0
Blue128
521414.5
353990.5
81842.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94113050150200250300350134128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#12
56.81.9
57.659.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 33.7
90.50.9
76.076.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5193
#18
30.01.9
30.832.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
818
#9
42.50.9
26.627.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5197
#16
17.71.9
8.510.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
5214
#29
14.50.9
7.38.2
Auto
Teleop
End