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Red161
233778.0
519330.0
259113.9
Blue101
283231.0
519717.7
91077.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12411950100150200250161101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.01.9
76.578.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
910
#3
77.50.9
78.877.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5193
#18
30.01.9
34.736.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2832
#17
31.00.9
25.925.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2591
#22
13.91.9
12.113.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
5197
#16
17.70.9
14.913.9
Auto
Teleop
End