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Red126
46983.9
481112.9
353841.0
Blue29
24564.9
519717.7
477930.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12311205010015020012629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#4
83.90.2
82.482.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.0
245
#13
64.94.2
68.163.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3538
#11
41.00.2
30.430.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
4779
#26
30.44.7
34.529.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4811
#38
12.90.2
8.48.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
5197
#16
17.74.7
10.86.1
Auto
Teleop
End