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Red155
353990.5
267322.4
519717.7
Blue75
330216.2
473731.6
339820.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13639010015020025030015575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.51.7
86.388.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 58.9
4737
#20
31.61.0
26.627.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2673
#25
22.41.7
20.722.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
3398
#30
20.21.0
13.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5197
#16
17.71.7
14.316.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
3302
#32
16.21.0
14.215.2
Auto
Teleop
End