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Red60
481112.9
32211.8
519330.0
Blue119
22639.3
496120.9
504634.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4391015020060119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5193
#18
30.00.5
33.634.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
226
#28
39.31.8
32.934.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4811
#38
12.90.5
10.611.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.6
5046
#15
34.51.8
31.233.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
322
#40
11.80.5
6.56.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
4961
#21
20.91.8
19.621.3
Auto
Teleop
End