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Red65
296063.5
283231.0
505321.6
Blue81
91077.5
52268.8
339820.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781000501502002506581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.50.8
48.447.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.1
910
#3
77.50.8
72.471.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2832
#17
31.00.8
25.024.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
3398
#30
20.20.8
11.811.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5053
#37
21.60.8
7.97.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
5226
#34
8.80.8
12.411.6
Auto
Teleop
End