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Red208
3386.1
91077.5
519330.0
Blue167
353461.5
46983.9
505321.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20116150100250300350208167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#5
86.10.2
86.586.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
469
#4
83.90.0
83.983.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
910
#3
77.50.2
78.078.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.0
61.50.0
61.561.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5193
#18
30.00.2
30.430.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
5053
#37
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto
Teleop
End