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Red131
85758.1
258631.0
368869.4
Blue210
498837.4
360249.9
439154.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165133050100200250300350400131210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.40.5
69.969.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.8
54.61.2
53.454.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
857
#1
58.10.5
58.558.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
49.91.2
48.749.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2586
#32
31.00.5
31.431.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
4988
#17
37.41.2
36.237.4
Auto
Teleop
End