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Red143
482730.9
132238.3
439831.7
Blue59
517511.2
376736.5
9423.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1116405015020025014359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1322
#10
38.30.6
39.440.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
3767
#25
36.50.2
36.736.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4398
#19
31.70.6
32.833.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
94
#24
23.50.2
23.723.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
30.90.6
32.032.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.7
5175
#13
11.20.2
11.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End