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Red247
439154.6
360249.9
498837.4
Blue140
521331.7
508624.8
224633.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13281050100150200250300247140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.62.0
48.850.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.5
33.20.8
33.133.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
49.92.0
44.046.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.1
5213
#29
31.70.8
31.632.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4988
#17
37.42.0
31.533.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
5086
#12
24.80.8
24.725.6
Auto
Teleop
End