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Red107
523020.0
9423.5
361853.2
Blue102
168444.7
439831.7
471530.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7893050150200107102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.21.4
43.344.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
1684
#31
44.70.6
36.537.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
94
#24
23.51.4
19.120.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
4398
#19
31.70.6
24.224.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5230
#15
20.01.4
17.518.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
4715
#18
30.30.6
29.930.5
Auto
Teleop
End