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Red122
437643.9
531434.0
360315.5
Blue143
368869.4
159635.4
353722.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61107050150200122143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4376
#11
43.92.7
32.034.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.5
69.42.2
52.454.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5314
#26
34.02.7
21.223.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
35.42.2
29.131.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3603
#36
15.52.7
15.418.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
3537
#22
22.32.2
18.420.6
Auto
Teleop
End