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Red104
498837.4
524722.8
83527.4
Blue18
168444.7
498311.8
508624.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5470010015020010418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4988
#17
37.42.4
22.825.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
1684
#31
44.72.5
37.134.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
835
#23
27.42.4
14.316.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
5086
#12
24.82.5
19.617.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5247
#14
22.82.4
19.021.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
4983
#34
11.82.5
10.68.2
Auto
Teleop
End