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Red111
159635.4
361853.2
18965.2
Blue111
132238.3
483521.3
368869.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74115050100150200111111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.2
69.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
35.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
1322
#10
38.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1896
#37
5.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.1
4835
#16
21.3
Auto
Teleop
End