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Red100
376736.5
437643.9
518327.5
Blue32
363926.1
224633.2
360315.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8842010015020010032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4376
#11
43.91.0
34.735.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
33.20.9
17.716.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3767
#25
36.51.0
26.427.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
3639
#39
26.11.4
13.311.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5183
#30
27.51.0
19.420.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
3603
#36
15.50.9
18.117.2
Auto
Teleop
End