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Red86
168444.7
83527.4
517511.2
Blue89
224633.2
353722.3
531434.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626102040801001208689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#31
44.71.2
34.635.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
5314
#26
34.01.4
22.924.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
835
#23
27.41.2
16.718.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
33.21.4
16.918.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5175
#13
11.21.2
9.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.1
3537
#22
22.31.4
21.923.3
Auto
Teleop
End