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Red16
388626.2
471530.3
522316.4
Blue78
511026.0
361853.2
508624.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72920501502001678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4715
#18
30.32.9
30.928.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.0
53.20.5
45.044.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3886
#20
26.22.9
23.520.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
5110
#21
26.00.5
23.723.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5223
#38
16.44.9
20.315.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
5086
#12
24.80.5
20.019.4
Auto
Teleop
End