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Red119
521331.7
437527.9
471530.3
Blue66
531434.0
18965.2
83527.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8445010015020025011966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5213
#29
31.72.0
24.226.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
5314
#26
34.00.7
26.227.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4715
#18
30.32.0
28.030.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
835
#23
27.40.7
21.722.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4375
#33
27.92.0
25.927.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.7
1896
#37
5.20.7
3.13.8
Auto
Teleop
End