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Red128
360249.9
497032.6
511026.0
Blue117
258631.0
171137.8
508624.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9579050150200250300128117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.91.8
37.439.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
37.81.8
33.935.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4970
#27
32.61.8
28.730.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2586
#32
31.01.8
28.930.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5110
#21
26.01.8
26.828.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
5086
#12
24.81.8
18.820.5
Auto
Teleop
End