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Red102
360249.9
437643.9
168444.7
Blue126
85758.1
83527.4
483521.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121930200300400102126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.90.7
39.138.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
857
#1
58.11.4
56.758.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1684
#31
44.70.7
40.139.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
835
#23
27.41.4
25.126.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4376
#11
43.90.7
37.036.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.6
4835
#16
21.31.4
15.416.8
Auto
Teleop
End