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Red23
498311.8
524722.8
437527.9
Blue93
85758.1
132238.3
9423.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40970501502002393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4375
#33
27.91.3
23.221.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.2
857
#1
58.10.3
33.533.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5247
#14
22.81.3
18.817.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.5
1322
#10
38.30.3
35.635.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4983
#34
11.81.3
6.95.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.7
94
#24
23.50.3
18.919.1
Auto
Teleop
End