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Red105
258631.0
83527.4
376736.5
Blue114
439223.0
159635.4
9423.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9275050150200250105114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#25
36.50.8
31.932.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
35.41.8
31.733.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2586
#32
31.00.8
29.630.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
94
#24
23.51.8
23.825.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
835
#23
27.40.8
27.728.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
4392
#28
23.01.8
21.823.7
Auto
Teleop
End