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Red71
518327.5
521331.7
517511.2
Blue142
363926.1
388626.2
168444.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648705010015020025071142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5213
#29
31.70.2
27.627.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.9
1684
#31
44.72.9
41.644.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5183
#30
27.50.2
28.128.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
3886
#20
26.22.9
19.422.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5175
#13
11.20.2
12.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.9
3639
#39
26.13.6
22.726.3
Auto
Teleop
End