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Red114
361853.2
482730.9
353722.3
Blue129
85758.1
171137.8
360315.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101109050150200250114129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.20.6
48.949.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
857
#1
58.11.1
56.257.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
30.90.6
31.432.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
37.81.1
37.038.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3537
#22
22.30.6
21.722.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
3603
#36
15.51.1
14.415.5
Auto
Teleop
End