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Red64
531434.0
511026.0
437527.9
Blue179
483521.3
376736.5
361853.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9110105015020025030035064179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5314
#26
34.01.4
35.434.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.2
53.24.0
49.553.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4375
#33
27.91.4
29.728.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
3767
#25
36.54.0
32.736.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5110
#21
26.01.4
27.426.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
4835
#16
21.34.0
17.321.3
Auto
Teleop
End