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Red172
258631.0
85758.1
368869.4
Blue126
159635.4
437643.9
497032.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16997050150200250300350400172126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.40.2
69.269.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.5
4376
#11
43.90.3
42.743.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
857
#1
58.10.2
57.958.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.7
35.40.3
34.134.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2586
#32
31.00.2
30.831.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
4970
#27
32.60.3
31.431.7
Auto
Teleop
End