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Red206
368869.4
85758.1
258631.0
Blue165
437643.9
159635.4
497032.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17098050150200250300350400206165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.40.8
69.570.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.5
4376
#11
43.90.9
43.043.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
857
#1
58.10.8
58.158.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.7
35.40.9
34.435.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2586
#32
31.00.8
31.031.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
4970
#27
32.60.9
31.732.6
Auto
Teleop
End