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Red130
377329.4
309871.5
1718101.0
Blue95
499421.4
5173.6
6799.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207198010030040050060013095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.01.3
102.3101.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
67
#2
99.01.7
100.799.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
71.51.3
72.771.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
51
#6
73.61.7
75.373.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3773
#29
29.41.3
30.729.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
4994
#36
21.41.7
23.121.4
Auto
Teleop
End