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Red170
309871.5
1718101.0
377329.4
Blue125
30265.1
353830.4
261259.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions216146050100250300350400170125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.00.6
102.1101.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 35.9
302
#5
65.10.5
65.665.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
71.50.6
72.672.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
2612
#12
59.70.5
60.259.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3773
#29
29.40.6
30.529.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
3538
#24
30.40.5
30.930.4
Auto
Teleop
End