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Red180
523916.7
24041.4
6799.0
Blue121
523819.6
377329.4
261259.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123600100150200250300180121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#2
99.03.4
78.381.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 39.3
2612
#12
59.72.6
29.932.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
240
#11
41.45.6
27.733.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
3773
#29
29.44.3
22.927.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5239
#27
16.73.4
6.910.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
5238
#23
19.62.6
16.719.3
Auto
Teleop
End