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Red165
353970.8
499421.4
46982.4
Blue122
522431.3
353555.5
127.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18776050100150250300350165122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#9
82.40.2
76.976.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.9
3535
#10
55.51.4
41.342.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
70.80.4
66.265.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 39.5
5224
#21
31.31.4
27.729.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4994
#36
21.40.2
26.526.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
1
#37
27.41.4
24.125.5
Auto
Teleop
End