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Red183
213782.1
363211.7
353830.4
Blue100
499421.4
377329.4
6856.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121146080100140160180200183100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.13.4
75.378.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.7
68
#16
56.50.6
49.348.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3538
#24
30.45.7
26.532.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
3773
#29
29.40.9
35.634.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3632
#33
11.73.4
12.415.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
4994
#36
21.40.6
26.325.8
Auto
Teleop
End