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Red211
500815.6
57365.6
309871.5
Blue105
261259.7
6856.5
519710.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1391230200300400500600211105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.53.7
68.772.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
2612
#12
59.71.0
57.055.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
573
#13
65.63.7
62.666.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
68
#16
56.51.0
56.155.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5008
#35
15.63.7
5.59.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
5197
#34
10.81.5
12.511.0
Auto
Teleop
End