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Red161
261259.7
468019.8
353970.8
Blue17
521619.5
330214.5
485138.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9952015020025016117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.85.8
48.954.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.7
38.12.1
20.918.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2612
#12
59.73.5
26.429.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 40.3
5216
#17
19.52.1
10.58.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4680
#14
19.83.5
16.520.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
3302
#39
14.53.6
28.324.8
Auto
Teleop
End